Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 407.845192 462.467423 522.787423 594.526226 677.759125 771.568511 885.699675
2026-02-08 323.759061 395.343189 481.401335 593.237947 735.829946 913.017989 1152.142653
2026-02-15 274.992932 352.495226 451.052013 587.021327 771.996865 1018.137479 1375.980731
2026-02-22 244.478593 325.888205 434.244731 591.276334 816.794535 1134.820289 1627.848301
2026-03-01 216.803852 298.463072 411.336084 581.801166 838.117200 1218.056670 1841.018483
2026-03-08 196.070305 277.690205 394.344551 577.137851 863.633301 1308.105371 2075.705462
2026-03-15 174.280284 252.785818 368.199936 554.817014 857.918496 1347.121245 2231.397526
2026-03-22 165.707826 246.392558 368.561133 572.744727 917.185641 1497.219805 2598.951715
2026-03-29 159.339971 242.553425 372.131292 595.671493 986.829928 1673.403436 3042.954307
2026-04-05 149.168852 231.672718 363.270945 596.600489 1018.124638 1785.451944 3384.245472
2026-04-12 137.465931 217.245286 347.187738 583.176141 1021.673669 1846.190577 3632.740199
2026-04-19 127.450885 204.741589 333.139289 571.691773 1027.030434 1910.333191 3898.465384
2026-04-26 122.635671 200.743441 333.481514 586.692292 1085.412613 2089.020585 4452.421623
2026-05-03 115.619962 192.400863 325.516925 585.444745 1111.900379 2206.801969 4893.214008
2026-05-10 108.583501 183.435436 315.609531 579.320156 1127.486243 2303.248683 5302.213084
2026-05-17 103.655057 177.824738 311.277062 583.511373 1164.821991 2452.462028 5873.917934
2026-05-24 97.375310 169.276062 300.757598 574.178333 1171.872898 2533.750247 6286.076423
2026-05-31 92.235699 162.458053 292.953539 569.584849 1188.704661 2640.282156 6790.455261
2026-06-07 85.453796 152.095502 277.540494 547.597123 1163.595417 2641.741995 6997.797310
2026-06-14 83.724282 151.221602 280.598443 565.257435 1232.339012 2887.080242 7981.507012
2026-06-21 82.581404 151.382641 285.695874 587.840487 1315.744568 3184.250472 9205.224022
2026-06-28 79.268505 147.039459 281.296800 588.755515 1346.233787 3345.738041 10035.667559
2026-07-05 74.818241 140.140577 271.120106 575.532703 1339.588626 3404.101609 10533.950704